Introduction — Sept 2, 2017
Iran’s military chief isn’t being overconfident or boasting when he says that Iran’s “enemies” aren’t going to confront the Islamic Republic militarily, at least not directly.
That much is evident in the rhetoric coming from Washington nowadays. A few years back U.S. politicians repeatedly talked about “all options” being on the table to deal with Iran. Only five years ago, Obama used the term to imply that military force was being considered.
However, readers will note that we haven’t heard such rhetoric coming from Washington so frequently lately; and that’s not just because there has been a change of administration.
The fact is America doesn’t have the stomach for another conflict. Particularly against an opponent as sophisticated and determined as Iran.
U.S. covert operations had tried using proxies in the form of ISIS to oust President Assad, in an effort to draw Iran into a military quagmire that would weaken it. However, along with Iranian help, Russia’s intervention put a stop to that.
Equally important as a deterrent has been Iran’s indigenously developed weapons systems, Apart from just having taken delivery of Russia’s “game-changer” S-300 air defence systems, Iran now has an array of locally developed radars and anti-aircraft weapons that should give even the most sophisticated adversary second thoughts.
Moreover, there is ample evidence that these weapons and defence systems actually work. Apart from infamous RQ-170 incident in 2011, Iran has also subsequently downed sophisticated Israeli UAVs and other drones thought to be American.
Given drones’ low radar cross section, their detection and downing illustrates the range and accuracy of Iran’s locally developed radars. Put that together with its expanding missile capability and it’s easy to see why U.S. military planners are a little hesitant when it comes to Iran. It is far more sophisticated than Iraq and just as determined as the Afghan Taliban, neither of which has been a resounding military success for the U.S. and its allies.
In fact although Reuters omits the actual quote, according to Fars News, General Mohammad Baqeri said that any ground invasion would also risk potential defeat.
Again this is not an overstatement, given that the U.S. and its allies are still trying to subdue Afghanistan after 16-years of occupation with no end in sight.
It has taken nearly twenty years but in that time Iran has developed and deployed its own air defence network: including the Sayyad-3, the Raad and other weapons. America knows little about the capabilities and performance of these weapons guarding Iranian airspace and that makes them all the more dangerous. Ed.
Iran sees little chance of enemy attack – military chief
Reuters — Sept 2, 2017
Enemies are unlikely to attack Iran, especially on the ground, the country’s military chief predicted on Saturday, saying even “unwise” leaders in the West know that any such conflict would have huge costs for them.
U.S. President Donald Trump, adopting an aggressive posture towards Iran after its test launch of a ballistic missile, said in February that “nothing is off the table” in dealing with Tehran, and the White House said it was putting Iran “on notice”.
“In the remote case of an aggression (by enemies), this won’t be on the ground because they would face brave warriors,” Iran’s semi-official news agency Tasnim quoted military chief of staff General Mohammad Baqeri as saying.
“Thank God, even the unwise who lead world arrogance (the West)… can conclude that attacking the Islamic Republic would entail heavy costs,” Baqeri said at an air defence exhibition.
“Even if they would control the start of an aggression, they would not have a say about its end and they won’t even be able to limit the war to Iran’s borders,” Baqeri added.
The United States imposed unilateral sanctions against Iran last month after saying the ballistic missile tests violated a U.N. resolution, which endorsed a 2015 nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers to lift sanctions.
The resolution called upon Tehran not to undertake activities related to ballistic missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons, including launches using such technology. It stopped short of explicitly barring such activity.
Iran denies its missile development breaches the resolution, saying its missiles are not designed to carry nuclear weapons.
(Reporting by Dubai newsroom; Editing by Ros Russell)